subscription-lifecycle

安装量: 385
排名: #5658

安装

npx skills add https://github.com/eronred/aso-skills --skill subscription-lifecycle
Subscription Lifecycle
You optimize every stage of the subscription journey: trial → paid → renewal → cancellation recovery → win-back.
The Subscription Lifecycle
Install → Trial start → [Trial period] → Conversion → Renewal → ... → Cancel → Win-back
↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
No convert Voluntary Involuntary Lapsed
(nurture) (exit survey) (dunning) (campaign)
Key Metrics at Each Stage
Stage
Metric
Formula
Benchmark
Trial
Trial start rate
Trials / Downloads
> 20%
Trial
Trial-to-paid
Conversions / Trials
25–40% strong
Retention
Month 1 renewal
M1 renewals / Subscribers
> 70%
Retention
Month 6 renewal
M6 renewals / Subscribers
> 50%
Churn
Monthly churn
Lost subs / Start subs
< 5% good; < 2% excellent
Revenue
MRR
Active subs × monthly price
Revenue
LTV
ARPU / Monthly churn rate
Recovery
Dunning recovery
Recovered / Failed payments
> 30%
Win-back
Resubscribe rate
Returns / Lapsed
5–15%
Stage 1 — Trial Optimization
Trial Length
App Type
Recommended trial
Notes
Simple utility
3–7 days
Value obvious quickly
Health/fitness
7–14 days
Habit formation needs time
Productivity
7–14 days
Workflow integration
Education
7–14 days
First lesson completion
Entertainment
7 days
Binge behavior
Test:
Monthly apps with a 7-day trial vs. 14-day trial — conversion rate may drop slightly but LTV often increases.
Trial Nurture Sequence
Send in-app (or push) messages during the trial to drive activation:
Day 0: Welcome — "Your trial has started. Here's how to get the most from it."
Day 1: Core feature highlight — "Try [key feature] today"
Day 3: Progress / social proof — "Users who do X get 3× better results"
Day 5 (7-day trial): Urgency — "2 days left in your trial"
Day 6: Value recap — "Here's what you've done / could do with premium"
Day 7: Last day — "Your trial ends today"
Rule:
Messages should show value, not just create pressure.
Trial End — Conversion Moment
At trial end, show a paywall that:
Recaps what the user achieved during the trial
Shows the most-used premium features
Offers 3 plan options (monthly / annual / lifetime if applicable)
Highlights savings on annual ("Save 40%")
See
monetization-strategy
for paywall design details.
Stage 2 — Reducing Voluntary Churn
Why Users Cancel (and How to Fix It)
Reason
Signal
Fix
Forgot they subscribed
Low sessions, no activation
Improve onboarding + notification strategy
Not enough value
Low feature usage
Push underused high-value features
Too expensive
Price sensitivity
Introduce lower-tier or pause option
Problem with app
1-star reviews
Fix the bug, reply to reviews
Found alternative
Monitor competitor installs
Seasonal use
Churns at same time yearly
Offer a pause option
The Cancellation Flow
When a user initiates cancellation (iOS —
ManagedSubscriptionGroup
):
Offer a pause
before full cancel: "Pause for 1–3 months instead of cancelling"
Show value recap
"You've used [feature] X times this month"
Offer a discount
Only as last resort — 20–30% off for 3 months
Exit survey
Always ask "Why are you cancelling?" (1 tap, not an essay) Cancellation exit survey options: Too expensive Not using it enough Missing a feature I need Switching to a competitor Technical issues Just taking a break Engagement Signals to Watch Users at high churn risk: Sessions < 1 per week (down from higher baseline) Core feature not used in 14+ days Push notifications disabled Last session > 7 days ago Trigger a re-engagement push or in-app message before they cancel. Stage 3 — Involuntary Churn (Failed Payments) Involuntary churn accounts for 20–40% of all subscription cancellations. Dunning Strategy Day Action 0 Payment fails silently — Apple/Google retry 3 Apple/Google retry #2 7 Apple/Google retry #3 — show in-app "Update payment method" banner 10 Send push: "Your subscription couldn't be renewed — tap to update" 14 Grace period ends — subscription suspended 15 Final in-app message: "Reactivate to keep access" Grace period: iOS: 6 days (configurable up to 16 in App Store Connect) Android: 3 days (configurable) Maximize grace period length — every extra day recovers more subscribers. RevenueCat Integration RevenueCat handles dunning automatically. Key settings: Enable Billing Retry (iOS) / Account Hold (Android) Configure grace period to maximum allowed Use RevenueCat webhooks to trigger in-app messaging at each failure event See revenuecat.md integration guide. Stage 4 — Win-Back Campaigns Target lapsed subscribers (cancelled or expired in last 30–90 days). Win-Back Offer Ladder Start with the softest offer; escalate only if no response: Week 1 after lapse: "We miss you" — highlight new features added since they left Week 3: "Come back for 30% off your first month back" Week 6: "3 months at 50% off — best offer we'll make" Week 12+: Archive — low conversion probability Win-Back Channels Channel How Push notification In-app if app still installed Email If email was collected Apple Win-Back Offer Native iOS win-back offer in StoreKit 2 Paid retargeting Meta/Google retargeting to lapsed subscriber list StoreKit 2 Win-Back Offers (iOS 18+) Apple natively supports win-back subscription offers for lapsed subscribers: Set up in App Store Connect → Subscriptions → Win-Back Offers Presented automatically in the App Store to eligible lapsed users No additional code needed beyond StoreKit 2 integration Output Format Subscription Health Report Lifecycle Metrics ([period]): Trial start rate: [X]% (benchmark: >20%) Trial conversion: [X]% (benchmark: 25-40%) M1 renewal: [X]% (benchmark: >70%) Monthly churn: [X]% (benchmark: <5%) Dunning recovery: [X]% (benchmark: >30%) Win-back rate: [X]% (benchmark: 5-15%) LTV (estimated): $[N] MRR: $[N] Top issues: 1. [Stage] — [metric] is [X]% vs benchmark [Y]% — [recommended fix] 2. [Stage] — [metric] is [X]% vs benchmark [Y]% — [recommended fix] Priority action: [Single highest-leverage change to implement this week]
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