product strategist

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排名: #11476

安装

npx skills add https://github.com/daffy0208/ai-dev-standards --skill 'Product Strategist'
Product Strategist
Validate that products solve
real problems
for
viable markets
before investing in development.
Core Principle
Evidence over intuition.
Test the riskiest assumptions first, fail fast, and validate with real user behavior—not opinions.
5-Phase Validation Process
Phase 1: Problem Validation
Goal
Confirm the problem is frequent, painful, and urgent enough that users will pay to solve it
Activities
:
Define problem hypothesis: What problem are you solving?
Identify target customer segments
Conduct customer discovery interviews (10-15 per segment)
Quantify problem severity: time/money cost to users
Document current workarounds and their pain points
The "Mom Test" Questions
:
Good Questions
(reveal behavior):
"Tell me about the last time you encountered [problem]."
"How are you currently solving this?"
"How much time/money do you spend on this problem?"
"What have you tried that didn't work?"
Bad Questions
(confirmation bias):
"Would you use this product?" (Everyone says yes)
"Do you think this is a good idea?" (Asks opinion, not behavior)
"How much would you pay for this?" (Hypothetical)
Problem Severity Matrix
:
Dimension
Low (Don't Build)
Medium (Validate More)
High (Build It)
Frequency
Happens rarely
Monthly
Daily/Weekly
Impact
Minor annoyance
Wastes 1-2 hours
Critical blocker
Urgency
Can wait
Should fix eventually
Need it now
Willingness to Pay
Won't pay
Might pay $5-20/mo
Will pay $50+/mo
Current Workarounds
Works fine
Tolerable
Painful/expensive
Decision Rule
:
4-5 High → Build immediately
2-3 High → Validate solution
0-1 High → Don't build (problem not severe enough)
Validation Gate
:
10+ customer discovery interviews completed
Problem validated as frequent, painful, and urgent
Current workarounds documented and evaluated
Willingness to pay signals collected
70%+ of interviewees confirm problem is severe
Phase 2: Solution Validation
Goal
Test that your solution actually solves the problem, not just adds features
Validation Methods
:
1. Smoke Test
(Fastest - 1-2 days)
Create landing page describing solution with "Sign up for early access" CTA
Drive 100-500 visitors via ads or outreach
Success
>5% conversion to email signup
2. Concierge MVP
(1 week)
Manually deliver solution to 5-10 early customers
Walk them through process yourself (no automation)
Success
Users achieve outcome and ask for more
3. Wizard of Oz MVP
(1-2 weeks)
Build front-end UI only
Handle requests manually behind the scenes
Success
Users continue using despite imperfections
4. Prototype Testing
(3-5 days)
Show clickable prototypes (Figma, InVision) to 10-15 users
Watch them attempt key tasks without guidance
Success
>70% complete core tasks without help
Activities
:
Create low-fidelity prototypes (paper, Figma, landing page)
Test solution concepts with target users
Identify must-have vs. nice-to-have features
Test willingness to pay and pricing expectations
Validation Gate
:
Solution concepts tested with prototypes
Must-have features identified
50%+ of testers say they'd pay for it
Solution validated as solving the problem
Phase 3: Market Validation
Goal
Confirm the market is large enough and growing
Market Sizing
:
TAM (Total Addressable Market)
:
TAM = (Number of potential users globally) × (Annual revenue per user)
SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market)
:
SAM = TAM × (Percentage reachable with your channels)
SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market)
:
SOM = SAM × (Realistic market share % in 1-3 years)
Minimum Viable Market
:
SOM ≥ $10M for VC-backed startups
SOM ≥ $1M for bootstrapped products
Market growing at >10% annually
Competitive Analysis
:
Competitor
Strengths
Weaknesses
Your Differentiation
Competitor 1
Features, price
UX, support
Your advantage
Competitor 2
Brand, scale
Slow, expensive
Your advantage
Key Questions
:
Why will users switch from competitors to you?
What can you do 10x better (not 10% better)?
What barriers prevent competitors from copying you?
Validation Gate
:
Market sized (TAM, SAM, SOM)
SOM ≥ $1M with >10% growth
Competitive landscape analyzed
Differentiation clearly defined
Go-to-market channels identified
Phase 4: Business Model Validation
Goal
Validate unit economics demonstrate path to profitability
Customer Lifetime Value (LTV)
:
LTV = (ARPU per month) × (Customer lifetime in months) × (Gross margin %)
Example: $50/mo × 24 months × 80% = $960 LTV
Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)
:
CAC = (Total sales & marketing spend) / (New customers acquired)
Example: $50,000 / 100 customers = $500 CAC
LTV:CAC Ratio
:
Ratio = LTV / CAC
Example: $960 / $500 = 1.92:1 (NOT VIABLE)
Success Criteria
:
✅ LTV:CAC ≥ 3:1 (healthy business)
⚠️ LTV:CAC 2:1 - 3:1 (needs optimization)
❌ LTV:CAC < 2:1 (not viable)
Pricing Validation (Van Westendorp Method)
:
Survey questions:
At what price would this be so expensive you wouldn't consider it?
At what price would you consider it expensive, but still consider buying?
At what price would you consider it a bargain?
At what price would it be so cheap you'd question the quality?
Optimal Price
Where "too expensive" and "too cheap" curves intersect
Validation Gate
:
Revenue model defined (subscription, usage, freemium, etc.)
LTV and CAC estimated
LTV:CAC ≥ 3:1 achievable
Pricing tested with real users
Key business risks identified
Phase 5: MVP Definition
Goal
Define minimum set of features needed to validate core value proposition
MVP Scope Framework
:
Must-Have (Core Value Proposition)
:
Features that deliver the primary benefit
Without these, the product doesn't solve the problem
Example: For Uber, "request ride" and "track driver"
Should-Have (Important but not Critical)
:
Enhance experience but aren't core to problem
Add in V1.1 or V1.2
Example: For Uber, "driver ratings" and "fare estimates"
Nice-to-Have (Delight Features)
:
Add polish but don't solve core problem
Postpone indefinitely
Example: For Uber, "music preferences" and "pet-friendly rides"
MVP = Must-Haves ONLY. Scope to 4-8 weeks.
Success Metrics
:
Activation rate: % of signups who complete core action
Retention (Week 1): % who return after first use
Referral: % who recommend to others
Revenue: % who convert to paid (if monetized)
Validation Gate
:
Must-have features defined (core value only)
Should-have and nice-to-have deferred
MVP scoped to 4-8 weeks
Success metrics defined and measurable
Launch and feedback strategy planned
Key Principles
1. Test the Riskiest Assumptions First
Focus on what could kill the product, not what's easy to test
2. Fail Fast, Fail Cheap
Invalidate bad ideas before they consume significant resources
3. Evidence Over Intuition
Your opinion is not validation. Real user behavior is.
4. Problem Before Solution
Fall in love with the problem, not your solution
5. MVP is Not V1
MVP should test assumptions, not delight customers
6. Pivots Are Normal
Most successful products pivot based on validation findings
Standard Output Format
discovery_validation_summary
:
problem_validation
:
hypothesis
:
''
interviews_conducted
:
<number
>
severity
:
frequency
:
''
impact
:
''
urgency
:
''
validation_status
:
''
solution_validation
:
concepts_tested
:
<number
>
user_feedback
:
[
''
]
must_have_features
:
[
''
]
validation_status
:
''
market_validation
:
tam
:
'$'
sam
:
'$'
som
:
'$'
growth_rate
:
''
competitive_differentiation
:
''
business_model
:
revenue_model
:
''
estimated_ltv
:
'$'
estimated_cac
:
'$'
ltv_cac_ratio
:
''
pricing
:
'$ per '
mvp_definition
:
must_have_features
:
[
''
,
''
]
success_metrics
:
-
metric
:
''
target
:
''
-
metric
:
''
target
:
''
estimated_timeline
:
''
recommendation
:
''
risks
:
[
''
]
Common Pitfalls
Skipping problem validation
→ Build solutions to non-problems
Falling in love with your solution
→ Ignore evidence it doesn't work
Talking to the wrong people
→ Friends/family say what you want to hear
Overbuilding the MVP
→ 6-month build for an experiment
Vanity metrics
→ Track page views instead of paying customers
Ignoring unit economics
→ Acquire customers at a loss forever
Approval Gate
Before proceeding to full design and development:
Problem validated with at least 10 customer interviews
Solution concept tested with low-fidelity prototypes
Market sized and confirmed viable (SOM ≥ $1M)
Unit economics demonstrate path to profitability (LTV:CAC ≥ 3:1)
MVP scope defined and approved by stakeholders
Success metrics defined with measurement plan
Rationale
Investing in development without validation is gambling. This gate ensures product-market fit is achievable before significant resource commitment. Related Resources
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